Signal #258878

XAUUSD M15 · random_bar (random control) · short at bar 2026-11-06 20:00:00Z · entry expired · outcome tracking

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)
4064.43
TP1
4057.80 (1×ATR)
TP2
4051.35 (2×ATR)
catastrophic SL
4128.73 (10×ATR)
ATR at decision
6.4479 = 1 ATR
spread
0.18 paid on exit (buy back at ask)
breakeven TP1 rate
91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often
timeout
16 bars
overlap at creation
1 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status
expired
expires
2026-11-06 20:30:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)
max drift
0.25 × ATR
expired
2026-11-06 20:18:02Z drift
telegram
not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state
tracking 6/16 bars seen
P&L
–
MFE / MAE
3.73 / 4.95 (0.58 ATR / 0.77 ATR)
last bar consumed
2026-11-06 21:30:00Z
evaluated
2026-11-08 21:48:02Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)
rule inputs (context)
{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip on hash-selected bars, rate matched to the primary arm",
  "fire_rate": "0.124",
  "primary_fired": false,
  "rate_window_bars": 500
}

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