Signal #258597

XAUUSD M15 · random (random control) · long at bar 2026-11-06 18:45:00Z · entry expired · outcome tracking

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)

4077.68

TP1

4085.17 (1×ATR)

TP2

4092.65 (2×ATR)

catastrophic SL

4002.82 (10×ATR)

ATR at decision

7.4857 = 1 ATR

spread

0.18 paid on entry (buy at ask)

breakeven TP1 rate

91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often

timeout

16 bars

overlap at creation

1 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status

expired

expires

2026-11-06 19:15:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)

max drift

0.25 × ATR

expired

2026-11-06 19:04:02Z drift

telegram

not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state

tracking 11/16 bars seen

P&L

–

MFE / MAE

0.83 / 17.16 (0.11 ATR / 2.29 ATR)

last bar consumed

2026-11-06 21:30:00Z

evaluated

2026-11-08 21:48:02Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)

{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip at the primary arm's decision points",
  "follows": "donchian20",
  "primary_side": "long"
}

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