Signal #258425

XAUUSD M15 · random_bar (random control) · short at bar 2026-11-06 17:45:00Z · entry expired · outcome tracking

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)

4060.09

TP1

4050.70 (1×ATR)

TP2

4041.48 (2×ATR)

catastrophic SL

4152.05 (10×ATR)

ATR at decision

9.2143 = 1 ATR

spread

0.18 paid on exit (buy back at ask)

breakeven TP1 rate

91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often

timeout

16 bars

overlap at creation

1 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status

expired

expires

2026-11-06 18:15:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)

max drift

0.25 × ATR

expired

2026-11-06 18:04:03Z drift

telegram

not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state

tracking 15/16 bars seen

P&L

–

MFE / MAE

1.54 / 18.60 (0.17 ATR / 2.02 ATR)

last bar consumed

2026-11-06 21:30:00Z

evaluated

2026-11-08 21:48:02Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)

{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip on hash-selected bars, rate matched to the primary arm",
  "fire_rate": "0.122",
  "primary_fired": false,
  "rate_window_bars": 500
}

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