Signal #257629

XAUUSD M15 · random (random control) · short at bar 2026-11-06 13:30:00Z · entry expired · outcome timeout

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)

4047.80

TP1

4038.56 (1×ATR)

TP2

4029.49 (2×ATR)

catastrophic SL

4138.25 (10×ATR)

ATR at decision

9.0629 = 1 ATR

spread

0.18 paid on exit (buy back at ask)

breakeven TP1 rate

91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often

timeout

16 bars

overlap at creation

0 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status

expired

expires

2026-11-06 14:00:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)

max drift

0.25 × ATR

expired

2026-11-06 13:50:02Z drift

telegram

not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state

timeout 16/16 bars seen

TP1 hit

2026-11-06 14:00:00Z

exit

timeout at bar 2026-11-06 17:30:00Z, fill 4055.58

P&L

-7.78 price units = -0.86 ATR

MFE / MAE

17.82 / 20.75 (1.97 ATR / 2.29 ATR)

last bar consumed

2026-11-06 17:30:00Z

evaluated

2026-11-06 17:46:02Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)

{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip at the primary arm's decision points",
  "follows": "donchian20",
  "primary_side": "short"
}

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