Signal #257238

XAUUSD M15 · random_bar (random control) · short at bar 2026-11-06 12:30:00Z · entry expired · outcome tp2

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)
4066.53
TP1
4060.12 (1×ATR)
TP2
4053.89 (2×ATR)
catastrophic SL
4128.66 (10×ATR)
ATR at decision
6.2314 = 1 ATR
spread
0.18 paid on exit (buy back at ask)
breakeven TP1 rate
91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often
timeout
16 bars
overlap at creation
0 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status
expired
expires
2026-11-06 13:00:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)
max drift
0.25 × ATR
expired
2026-11-06 12:46:02Z drift
telegram
not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state
tp2 4/16 bars seen
TP1 hit
2026-11-06 13:00:00Z
TP2 hit
2026-11-06 13:30:00Z
exit
tp2 at bar 2026-11-06 13:30:00Z, fill 4054.07
P&L
12.46 price units = +2.00 ATR
MFE / MAE
38.92 / 0.81 (6.25 ATR / 0.13 ATR)
last bar consumed
2026-11-06 13:30:00Z
evaluated
2026-11-06 13:46:02Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)
rule inputs (context)
{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip on hash-selected bars, rate matched to the primary arm",
  "fire_rate": "0.126",
  "primary_fired": false,
  "rate_window_bars": 500
}

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