Signal #255484

XAUUSD M15 · random (random control) · short at bar 2026-11-06 08:30:00Z · entry expired · outcome timeout

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)
4072.06
TP1
4062.69 (1×ATR)
TP2
4053.50 (2×ATR)
catastrophic SL
4163.77 (10×ATR)
ATR at decision
9.1886 = 1 ATR
spread
0.18 paid on exit (buy back at ask)
breakeven TP1 rate
91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often
timeout
16 bars
overlap at creation
1 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status
expired
expires
2026-11-06 09:00:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)
max drift
0.25 × ATR
expired
2026-11-06 08:52:03Z drift
telegram
not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state
timeout 16/16 bars seen
TP1 hit
2026-11-06 11:45:00Z
exit
timeout at bar 2026-11-06 12:30:00Z, fill 4066.71
P&L
5.35 price units = +0.58 ATR
MFE / MAE
12.30 / 9.25 (1.34 ATR / 1.01 ATR)
last bar consumed
2026-11-06 12:30:00Z
evaluated
2026-11-06 12:46:02Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)
rule inputs (context)
{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip at the primary arm's decision points",
  "follows": "donchian20",
  "primary_side": "long"
}

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