Signal #254797

XAUUSD M15 · random_bar (random control) · short at bar 2026-11-06 06:30:00Z · entry expired · outcome timeout

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)
4048.48
TP1
4039.91 (1×ATR)
TP2
4031.51 (2×ATR)
catastrophic SL
4132.23 (10×ATR)
ATR at decision
8.3929 = 1 ATR
spread
0.18 paid on exit (buy back at ask)
breakeven TP1 rate
91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often
timeout
16 bars
overlap at creation
1 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status
expired
expires
2026-11-06 07:00:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)
max drift
0.25 × ATR
expired
2026-11-06 07:00:03Z time
telegram
not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state
timeout 16/16 bars seen
exit
timeout at bar 2026-11-06 10:30:00Z, fill 4068.50
P&L
-20.02 price units = -2.39 ATR
MFE / MAE
6.43 / 32.83 (0.77 ATR / 3.91 ATR)
last bar consumed
2026-11-06 10:30:00Z
evaluated
2026-11-06 10:46:02Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)
rule inputs (context)
{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip on hash-selected bars, rate matched to the primary arm",
  "fire_rate": "0.12",
  "primary_fired": false,
  "rate_window_bars": 500
}

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