Signal #254031

XAUUSD M15 · random (random control) · long at bar 2026-11-06 04:00:00Z · entry expired · outcome timeout

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)

4039.85

TP1

4053.04 (1×ATR)

TP2

4066.23 (2×ATR)

catastrophic SL

3907.94 (10×ATR)

ATR at decision

13.1907 = 1 ATR

spread

0.18 paid on entry (buy at ask)

breakeven TP1 rate

91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often

timeout

16 bars

overlap at creation

3 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status

expired

expires

2026-11-06 04:30:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)

max drift

0.25 × ATR

expired

2026-11-06 04:20:02Z drift

telegram

not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state

timeout 16/16 bars seen

TP1 hit

2026-11-06 07:45:00Z

exit

timeout at bar 2026-11-06 08:00:00Z, fill 4056.65

P&L

16.80 price units = +1.27 ATR

MFE / MAE

17.56 / 4.04 (1.33 ATR / 0.31 ATR)

last bar consumed

2026-11-06 08:00:00Z

evaluated

2026-11-06 08:16:02Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)

{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip at the primary arm's decision points",
  "follows": "donchian20",
  "primary_side": "short"
}

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