Signal #253973

XAUUSD M15 · random_bar (random control) · long at bar 2026-11-06 03:45:00Z · entry expired · outcome timeout

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)

4044.87

TP1

4058.27 (1×ATR)

TP2

4071.67 (2×ATR)

catastrophic SL

3910.86 (10×ATR)

ATR at decision

13.4014 = 1 ATR

spread

0.18 paid on entry (buy at ask)

breakeven TP1 rate

91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often

timeout

16 bars

overlap at creation

0 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status

expired

expires

2026-11-06 04:15:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)

max drift

0.25 × ATR

expired

2026-11-06 04:06:02Z drift

telegram

not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state

timeout 16/16 bars seen

exit

timeout at bar 2026-11-06 07:45:00Z, fill 4055.73

P&L

10.86 price units = +0.81 ATR

MFE / MAE

12.51 / 9.06 (0.93 ATR / 0.68 ATR)

last bar consumed

2026-11-06 07:45:00Z

evaluated

2026-11-06 08:00:03Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)

{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip on hash-selected bars, rate matched to the primary arm",
  "fire_rate": "0.124",
  "primary_fired": false,
  "rate_window_bars": 500
}

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