Signal #251812

XAUUSD M15 · random_bar (random control) · long at bar 2026-11-05 14:30:00Z · entry expired · outcome tp2

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)

4096.86

TP1

4106.76 (1×ATR)

TP2

4116.66 (2×ATR)

catastrophic SL

3997.86 (10×ATR)

ATR at decision

9.9000 = 1 ATR

spread

0.18 paid on entry (buy at ask)

breakeven TP1 rate

91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often

timeout

16 bars

overlap at creation

2 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status

expired

expires

2026-11-05 15:00:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)

max drift

0.25 × ATR

expired

2026-11-05 14:48:02Z drift

telegram

not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state

tp2 2/16 bars seen

TP1 hit

2026-11-05 14:45:00Z

TP2 hit

2026-11-05 15:00:00Z

exit

tp2 at bar 2026-11-05 15:00:00Z, fill 4116.66

P&L

19.80 price units = +2.00 ATR

MFE / MAE

24.48 / 4.37 (2.47 ATR / 0.44 ATR)

last bar consumed

2026-11-05 15:00:00Z

evaluated

2026-11-05 15:16:02Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)

{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip on hash-selected bars, rate matched to the primary arm",
  "fire_rate": "0.12",
  "primary_fired": true,
  "rate_window_bars": 500
}

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