Signal #251811

XAUUSD M15 · random (random control) · short at bar 2026-11-05 14:30:00Z · entry expired · outcome tp2

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)
4096.68
TP1
4086.60 (1×ATR)
TP2
4076.70 (2×ATR)
catastrophic SL
4195.50 (10×ATR)
ATR at decision
9.9000 = 1 ATR
spread
0.18 paid on exit (buy back at ask)
breakeven TP1 rate
91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often
timeout
16 bars
overlap at creation
1 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status
expired
expires
2026-11-05 15:00:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)
max drift
0.25 × ATR
expired
2026-11-05 14:48:02Z drift
telegram
not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state
tp2 5/16 bars seen
TP1 hit
2026-11-05 15:45:00Z
TP2 hit
2026-11-05 15:45:00Z
exit
tp2 at bar 2026-11-05 15:45:00Z, fill 4076.88
P&L
19.80 price units = +2.00 ATR
MFE / MAE
20.22 / 24.84 (2.04 ATR / 2.51 ATR)
last bar consumed
2026-11-05 15:45:00Z
evaluated
2026-11-05 16:02:03Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)
rule inputs (context)
{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip at the primary arm's decision points",
  "follows": "donchian20",
  "primary_side": "short"
}

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