Signal #251641

XAUUSD M15 · random (random control) · short at bar 2026-11-05 13:15:00Z · entry expired · outcome tp2

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)
4115.57
TP1
4109.03 (1×ATR)
TP2
4102.68 (2×ATR)
catastrophic SL
4178.95 (10×ATR)
ATR at decision
6.3564 = 1 ATR
spread
0.18 paid on exit (buy back at ask)
breakeven TP1 rate
91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often
timeout
16 bars
overlap at creation
0 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status
expired
expires
2026-11-05 13:45:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)
max drift
0.25 × ATR
expired
2026-11-05 13:34:02Z drift
telegram
not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state
tp2 5/16 bars seen
TP1 hit
2026-11-05 14:30:00Z
TP2 hit
2026-11-05 14:30:00Z
exit
tp2 at bar 2026-11-05 14:30:00Z, fill 4102.86
P&L
12.71 price units = +2.00 ATR
MFE / MAE
19.64 / 20.47 (3.09 ATR / 3.22 ATR)
last bar consumed
2026-11-05 14:30:00Z
evaluated
2026-11-05 14:46:02Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)
rule inputs (context)
{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip at the primary arm's decision points",
  "follows": "donchian20",
  "primary_side": "short"
}

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