Signal #249968

XAUUSD M15 · random_bar (random control) · long at bar 2026-11-05 02:00:00Z · entry expired · outcome timeout

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)
4130.06
TP1
4142.53 (1×ATR)
TP2
4155.01 (2×ATR)
catastrophic SL
4005.32 (10×ATR)
ATR at decision
12.4743 = 1 ATR
spread
0.18 paid on entry (buy at ask)
breakeven TP1 rate
91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often
timeout
16 bars
overlap at creation
2 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status
expired
expires
2026-11-05 02:30:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)
max drift
0.25 × ATR
expired
2026-11-05 02:22:04Z drift
telegram
not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state
timeout 16/16 bars seen
TP1 hit
2026-11-05 03:45:00Z
exit
timeout at bar 2026-11-05 06:00:00Z, fill 4127.16
P&L
-2.90 price units = -0.23 ATR
MFE / MAE
16.78 / 21.20 (1.35 ATR / 1.70 ATR)
last bar consumed
2026-11-05 06:00:00Z
evaluated
2026-11-05 06:16:02Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)
rule inputs (context)
{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip on hash-selected bars, rate matched to the primary arm",
  "fire_rate": "0.126",
  "primary_fired": false,
  "rate_window_bars": 500
}

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