Signal #249548

XAUUSD M15 · random (random control) · short at bar 2026-11-05 00:30:00Z · entry expired · outcome timeout

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)
4091.47
TP1
4084.37 (1×ATR)
TP2
4077.46 (2×ATR)
catastrophic SL
4160.45 (10×ATR)
ATR at decision
6.9157 = 1 ATR
spread
0.18 paid on exit (buy back at ask)
breakeven TP1 rate
91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often
timeout
16 bars
overlap at creation
1 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status
expired
expires
2026-11-05 01:00:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)
max drift
0.25 × ATR
expired
2026-11-05 00:50:03Z drift
telegram
not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state
timeout 16/16 bars seen
TP1 hit
2026-11-05 01:00:00Z
exit
timeout at bar 2026-11-05 04:30:00Z, fill 4143.34
P&L
-51.87 price units = -7.50 ATR
MFE / MAE
7.20 / 55.55 (1.04 ATR / 8.03 ATR)
last bar consumed
2026-11-05 04:30:00Z
evaluated
2026-11-05 04:46:02Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)
rule inputs (context)
{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip at the primary arm's decision points",
  "follows": "donchian20",
  "primary_side": "long"
}

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