Signal #249499

XAUUSD M15 · random (random control) · short at bar 2026-11-05 00:15:00Z · entry expired · outcome sl

Levels (charted bid terms, spread already applied)

entry (fill)

4080.24

TP1

4073.66 (1×ATR)

TP2

4067.27 (2×ATR)

catastrophic SL

4144.02 (10×ATR)

ATR at decision

6.3964 = 1 ATR

spread

0.18 paid on exit (buy back at ask)

breakeven TP1 rate

91% SL/(TP1+SL) — a coin flip reaches TP1 this often

timeout

16 bars

overlap at creation

0 earlier same-arm signals still inside their window

Entry validity (live EAs only; the paper follower ignores it)

status

expired

expires

2026-11-05 00:45:00Z (1 bar after the decision close)

max drift

0.25 × ATR

expired

2026-11-05 00:32:03Z drift

telegram

not delivered (arm not set to notify, or not yet)

Outcome (paper follower)

state

sl 14/16 bars seen

SL hit

2026-11-05 03:45:00Z

exit

sl at bar 2026-11-05 03:45:00Z, fill 4144.20

P&L

-63.96 price units = -10.00 ATR

MFE / MAE

0.19 / 66.78 (0.03 ATR / 10.44 ATR)

last bar consumed

2026-11-05 03:45:00Z

evaluated

2026-11-05 04:02:03Z (wall-clock of the follower run; the bar times above are what matter)

{
  "rule": "deterministic coin flip at the primary arm's decision points",
  "follows": "donchian20",
  "primary_side": "long"
}

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