Run #28
- model
- Grok 4.3
- workflow
- large-tf-analysis (large_tf_signal_analysis)
- started
- 2026-09-12 00:20:42Z
- finished
- 2026-09-12 00:20:53Z
- tokens in / out
- 4146 / 268
- cost
- $0.0059
- dedupe key
- XAUUSD:D1:2026-09-10T21:00:00Z
- artifact
- analysis/large_tf_signal_analysis/XAUUSD/D1/2026-09-10T21:00:00Z.json
Result
{
"bias": "neutral",
"risks": [
"hotter US inflation data supporting higher yields",
"geopolitical oil disruptions adding volatility"
],
"regime": "volatile",
"drivers": [
"recovery from 4290 low after sharp prior drop",
"broader correction from Aug 4696 high still intact"
],
"summary": "D1 closed up at 4349 after testing 4290, showing short-term stabilization within a volatile range. No clear directional edge yet as price remains below recent resistance cluster near 4400-4435.",
"confidence": 55,
"key_levels": {
"support": [
4313.82,
4290.11,
4282.59
],
"resistance": [
4402.46,
4434.08,
4442.93
]
},
"scalping_context": {
"notes": "High volatility expected; wait for clear break of 4402 or 4290 before bias.",
"avoid_windows_utc": [],
"preferred_direction": "none",
"volatility_expectation": "high"
},
"invalidation_level": 4290.11
}Step 1 · analysis succeeded
- model
- Grok 4.3 xai / grok-4.3
- template
- large_tf_signal_analysis v1
- tokens in / out
- 4146 / 268
- cost
- $0.0059
- latency
- 8087 ms
- logged
- 2026-09-12 00:20:52Z
{
"bias": "neutral",
"risks": [
"hotter US inflation data supporting higher yields",
"geopolitical oil disruptions adding volatility"
],
"regime": "volatile",
"drivers": [
"recovery from 4290 low after sharp prior drop",
"broader correction from Aug 4696 high still intact"
],
"summary": "D1 closed up at 4349 after testing 4290, showing short-term stabilization within a volatile range. No clear directional edge yet as price remains below recent resistance cluster near 4400-4435.",
"confidence": 55,
"key_levels": {
"support": [
4313.82,
4290.11,
4282.59
],
"resistance": [
4402.46,
4434.08,
4442.93
]
},
"scalping_context": {
"notes": "High volatility expected; wait for clear break of 4402 or 4290 before bias.",
"avoid_windows_utc": [],
"preferred_direction": "none",
"volatility_expectation": "high"
},
"invalidation_level": 4290.11
}
rendered prompt
system
You are a senior discretionary market analyst supporting an automated, gold-focused scalping system that trades on JustMarkets (MT5). You analyse one large-timeframe bar close at a time and produce a structured, decision-useful assessment for the NEXT session(s). You are not placing trades; downstream systems size and time entries. Be concrete: price levels, direction, conditions. Prefer 'neutral' over a forced view when the evidence is mixed. Times are UTC; the broker's daily bar opens at 21:00 UTC. Respond with ONE JSON object only, no prose outside it, matching the requested schema exactly (numbers as numbers).
user
Instrument: XAUUSD Timeframe: D1 Bar open (UTC): 2026-09-10T21:00:00Z Generated: 2026-09-12T00:20:43.675Z
Just-closed bar: open 4319.76 high 4402.46 low 4290.11 close 4349 tick_volume 424830 spread 18
Recent D1 history, oldest first (60 bars):
time (UTC) open/high/low/close/tick_volume
2026-06-21 21:00 O 4147.92 H 4220.5 L 4136.48 C 4192.27 V 233449
2026-06-22 21:00 O 4192.37 H 4198.25 L 4090.95 C 4109.67 V 251442
2026-06-23 21:00 O 4115.46 H 4116.34 L 3959.29 C 4001.06 V 299998
2026-06-24 21:00 O 4005.36 H 4044.18 L 3963.31 C 4026.64 V 275701
2026-06-25 21:00 O 4029.23 H 4096.02 L 3983.08 C 4088.85 V 248552
2026-06-28 21:00 O 4079.46 H 4086.08 L 4000.19 C 4016.32 V 225932
2026-06-29 21:00 O 4019.38 H 4063.48 L 3943.51 C 4007.22 V 227366
2026-06-30 21:00 O 4011.85 H 4115.68 L 3960.21 C 4031.43 V 232098
2026-07-01 21:00 O 4034.1 H 4143.97 L 4030.76 C 4123.96 V 251853
2026-07-02 21:00 O 4126.02 H 4195.38 L 4121.21 C 4175.58 V 147918
2026-07-05 21:00 O 4177.93 H 4202.79 L 4128.51 C 4164.18 V 207058
2026-07-06 21:00 O 4164.98 H 4180.38 L 4092.32 C 4106.68 V 220018
2026-07-07 21:00 O 4097.25 H 4133.95 L 4021.79 C 4077.4 V 280587
2026-07-08 21:00 O 4075.97 H 4138.02 L 4054.28 C 4123.91 V 213639
2026-07-09 21:00 O 4126.02 H 4134.78 L 4072.52 C 4119.72 V 185231
2026-07-12 21:00 O 4097.97 H 4103.47 L 3986.5 C 4001.86 V 254274
2026-07-13 21:00 O 4002.56 H 4103.36 L 3983.66 C 4052.71 V 242477
2026-07-14 21:00 O 4052.91 H 4081.24 L 4017.41 C 4059.96 V 222314
2026-07-15 21:00 O 4066.11 H 4066.73 L 3969.42 C 3976.43 V 237943
2026-07-16 21:00 O 3977.01 H 4023.72 L 3959.66 C 4017.57 V 251455
2026-07-19 21:00 O 4001.75 H 4040.73 L 3982.73 C 4008.62 V 222902
2026-07-20 21:00 O 4009.67 H 4087.25 L 3999.79 C 4077.85 V 198234
2026-07-21 21:00 O 4080.06 H 4166.02 L 4076.8 C 4130 V 219993
2026-07-22 21:00 O 4123.78 H 4140.85 L 4040.16 C 4049.1 V 240097
2026-07-23 21:00 O 4048.89 H 4082.06 L 4022.02 C 4052.79 V 193278
2026-07-26 21:00 O 4092.04 H 4116.15 L 4065.38 C 4076.62 V 213325
2026-07-27 21:00 O 4080.21 H 4082.31 L 4011.55 C 4028.73 V 217079
2026-07-28 21:00 O 4029.34 H 4116.37 L 3995.97 C 4066.27 V 256294
2026-07-29 21:00 O 4065.89 H 4120.38 L 4028.46 C 4102.93 V 266784
2026-07-30 21:00 O 4105.64 H 4111.69 L 4021.05 C 4044.18 V 204578
2026-08-02 21:00 O 4073.66 H 4079.81 L 4019.11 C 4054.93 V 199795
2026-08-03 21:00 O 4054.12 H 4106.35 L 4042.6 C 4077.79 V 190723
2026-08-04 21:00 O 4078.7 H 4267.84 L 4065.33 C 4246.34 V 236176
2026-08-05 21:00 O 4247.71 H 4304.24 L 4223.43 C 4240.28 V 236117
2026-08-06 21:00 O 4240.61 H 4371.77 L 4229.7 C 4342.15 V 249163
2026-08-09 21:00 O 4348.59 H 4395.19 L 4313.46 C 4389.25 V 218198
2026-08-10 21:00 O 4389.88 H 4435.09 L 4356.67 C 4368.02 V 228671
2026-08-11 21:00 O 4372.25 H 4441.37 L 4362.56 C 4408.88 V 221477
2026-08-12 21:00 O 4411.3 H 4449.75 L 4343.74 C 4350.41 V 231640
2026-08-13 21:00 O 4353.09 H 4397.01 L 4310.93 C 4375.84 V 203176
2026-08-16 21:00 O 4379.99 H 4428.85 L 4367.2 C 4416.42 V 208360
2026-08-17 21:00 O 4418.04 H 4436.21 L 4329.16 C 4334.75 V 218094
2026-08-18 21:00 O 4336.07 H 4524.25 L 4324.52 C 4522.94 V 258666
2026-08-19 21:00 O 4521.98 H 4540.88 L 4450.66 C 4518.95 V 256550
2026-08-20 21:00 O 4518.65 H 4632.2 L 4508.31 C 4604.1 V 247590
2026-08-23 21:00 O 4623.74 H 4680.87 L 4594.38 C 4652.53 V 280520
2026-08-24 21:00 O 4654.13 H 4696.72 L 4605.34 C 4658.73 V 254818
2026-08-25 21:00 O 4657.34 H 4673.67 L 4582.89 C 4594.09 V 230819
2026-08-26 21:00 O 4596.48 H 4643.07 L 4565.16 C 4600.56 V 236758
2026-08-27 21:00 O 4602.94 H 4632.05 L 4445.48 C 4456.35 V 264940
2026-08-30 21:00 O 4437.49 H 4472.02 L 4396.53 C 4448.44 V 249062
2026-08-31 21:00 O 4451.3 H 4461.5 L 4322.75 C 4328.78 V 261539
2026-09-01 21:00 O 4333.29 H 4397.64 L 4282.59 C 4387.53 V 252471
2026-09-02 21:00 O 4390.5 H 4510.73 L 4381.19 C 4473.31 V 290779
2026-09-03 21:00 O 4474.61 H 4490.77 L 4365.54 C 4430.1 V 343487
2026-09-06 21:00 O 4423.21 H 4435.18 L 4381.17 C 4406.34 V 229202
2026-09-07 21:00 O 4409.56 H 4442.93 L 4345.55 C 4355.54 V 396478
2026-09-08 21:00 O 4356 H 4434.08 L 4341.36 C 4400.85 V 343402
2026-09-09 21:00 O 4404.23 H 4434.73 L 4313.82 C 4316.55 V 434668
2026-09-10 21:00 O 4319.76 H 4402.46 L 4290.11 C 4349 V 424830
Recent news that may matter for XAUUSD (12 items, newest first):
- [2026-09-11 13:14 UTC] Jim Cramer's top 10 things to watch in the stock market Friday (CNBC)
Stocks are still looking at a higher open after consumer inflation, excluding food and energy prices, came in hotter than expected.
- [2026-09-11 08:35 UTC] Treasury yields steady as traders await consumer inflation data amid oil price pressure (CNBC)
Treasurys steadied Friday after surging to multiyear highs, as investors await more economic data.
- [2026-09-11 21:28 UTC] Gulf oil threatened anew as Houthis reach key island and pipeline is shut down - Reuters (Reuters)
Gulf oil threatened anew as Houthis reach key island and pipeline is shut down Reuters
- [2026-09-11 20:55 UTC] Saudi Arabia says drones launched from Iraq hit East-West pipeline, holds off on retaliation - Reuters (Reuters)
Saudi Arabia says drones launched from Iraq hit East-West pipeline, holds off on retaliation Reuters
- [2026-09-11 19:25 UTC] How Anthropic says Claude was used for weapons, spying and cyber operations - Reuters (Reuters)
How Anthropic says Claude was used for weapons, spying and cyber operations Reuters
- [2026-09-11 18:40 UTC] Twenty-five years after September 11, Americans reflect on attack that changed a nation - Reuters (Reuters)
Twenty-five years after September 11, Americans reflect on attack that changed a nation Reuters
- [2026-09-11 18:26 UTC] Why this industrial gas giant deserves its premium valuation (and should be owned) (CNBC)
Every weekday, the Investing Club releases the Homestretch, an actionable afternoon update just in time for the last hour of trading.
- [2026-09-11 17:33 UTC] Meet Ottava, J&J's surgical robot leading the healthcare giant into a lucrative new market (CNBC)
J&J is confident that Ottava, it's new robotic surgical system can compete in the robotic surgery market
- [2026-09-11 17:00 UTC] Election officials ban certain public workers from trading on prediction markets ahead of midterms (CNBC)
Ahead of the midterms, election officials ban certain workers from using prediction markets to reassure the public they are committed to election integrity.
- [2026-09-11 16:41 UTC] In pictures: The U.S. commemorates the 25th anniversary of 9/11 (CNBC)
On Sept. 11, 2001, hijackers flew planes into the World Trade Center and other monuments, killing thousands. 25 years later, photos capture those marking 9/11.
- [2026-09-11 16:38 UTC] India's Modi stresses need to protect navigation, seafarers in talks with Iran's Pezeshkian - Reuters (Reuters)
India's Modi stresses need to protect navigation, seafarers in talks with Iran's Pezeshkian Reuters
- [2026-09-11 16:26 UTC] Bonds are going on tilt. How to play them, says Mike Khouw (CNBC)
Warren Buffett once said interest rates are to asset prices what gravity is to matter. If the options market is correct, things could get heavy, says Mike Khouw.
Task: assess the state of XAUUSD after this D1 close for a scalping desk that will trade the next few hours (H4) or the next session (D1).
1. Regime and bias with a calibrated confidence (0-100).
2. Key support/resistance levels drawn from the history (actual prices, nearest first).
3. What drove the move and what could invalidate your view.
4. Scalping context: preferred direction (if any), volatility expectation, UTC windows to avoid (news, illiquid hours), and an invalidation level.
Return exactly this JSON shape:
{
"bias": "bullish | bearish | neutral",
"risks": [
"short bullet strings"
],
"regime": "trending_up | trending_down | ranging | volatile | quiet",
"drivers": [
"short bullet strings"
],
"summary": "2-4 sentences, plain language",
"confidence": "integer 0-100",
"key_levels": {
"support": [
"number, nearest first"
],
"resistance": [
"number, nearest first"
]
},
"scalping_context": {
"notes": "one or two sentences",
"avoid_windows_utc": [
"HH:MM-HH:MM strings"
],
"preferred_direction": "long | short | both | none",
"volatility_expectation": "low | normal | high"
},
"invalidation_level": "number or null"
}news context
{
"items": [
{
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/11/jim-cramers-top-10-things-to-watch-in-the-stock-market-friday.html",
"source": "CNBC",
"matched": true,
"summary": "Stocks are still looking at a higher open after consumer inflation, excluding food and energy prices, came in hotter than expected.",
"datetime": "2026-09-11T13:14:06.000Z",
"headline": "Jim Cramer's top 10 things to watch in the stock market Friday"
},
{
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/11/us-treasurys-bonds-yields.html",
"source": "CNBC",
"matched": true,
"summary": "Treasurys steadied Friday after surging to multiyear highs, as investors await more economic data.",
"datetime": "2026-09-11T08:35:57.000Z",
"headline": "Treasury yields steady as traders await consumer inflation data amid oil price pressure"
},
{
"url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuAFBVV95cUxOUk9oUjNYejhGeW1YblJUVWdfQ0JaZU52dHNPZUZVdnpMSkxYS3pKTWhLdjU0REdNUGdubUhnRl9KUXZabHRfbEQyOUJZeXUxQzZfcGFlbFV5V1BlSTVmRkhzdGJaNkpQa3p3OG9LZUt3Q3VXYkdrc2ZRWW9fcWQ4TkYxNFgxNFI0dlhIV0UyUU5Dbk44blJMempZVFVqVm5XbUlfV2dqSlN3YXBNUDlUQmVxS3JQMUxQ?oc=5",
"source": "Reuters",
"matched": false,
"summary": "Gulf oil threatened anew as Houthis reach key island and pipeline is shut down Reuters",
"datetime": "2026-09-11T21:28:55.000Z",
"headline": "Gulf oil threatened anew as Houthis reach key island and pipeline is shut down - Reuters"
},
{
"url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwwFBVV95cUxQc09uNHhSUmdLUm1zelhoY1VxQUtabG9lNENtc0FRTV8yczUtOE9VT1EweEM5MDR5bGkwbEgzMy1mOTFKNS1nc2I3RUI2VGtPcVdheGpWWjYwWi1XVC1zLVRqVXJiOTZUNFR3SzBvWDNhRFp2WmpPblpUVEVuVDE1bHVfTmczdVE5YVg4LURnUUZycVZ0VVN5ZGJMQ3IzWmZiaHNqbkRqczZtcnBtZDU0NXRZTUFROHJmOFRpNE1rOW1TZUk?oc=5",
"source": "Reuters",
"matched": false,
"summary": "Saudi Arabia says drones launched from Iraq hit East-West pipeline, holds off on retaliation Reuters",
"datetime": "2026-09-11T20:55:59.000Z",
"headline": "Saudi Arabia says drones launched from Iraq hit East-West pipeline, holds off on retaliation - Reuters"
},
{
"url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxPQ2o0V3htdFZCT1R5VFoxR0JHNDk3QzRxOHdlYXdzdUE4c2hXbUI2WFVLUmM0RFRwN2V2TUdUVlFEcy0tY0Z6eEVySHhaN213M29CdTIwYmJyNjBqU1BkYUhOQVpVYTlXam9jbnNvTV9LVS0zd2xodVBvdVlsRThtcTVCeDExdGRKYnA5S3o0bjllMk1WMFc1NXVCYS1JSFNCNkFfX09ZY1NscGNORFEzTW0xZFc?oc=5",
"source": "Reuters",
"matched": false,
"summary": "How Anthropic says Claude was used for weapons, spying and cyber operations Reuters",
"datetime": "2026-09-11T19:25:28.000Z",
"headline": "How Anthropic says Claude was used for weapons, spying and cyber operations - Reuters"
},
{
"url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxQTUV1QV9MNGlUbTdkanZIUUEwY0x1UlRXaXViVFlMVi14NW1aMkwwUjMzOUdnclVJSWFCQ3p6SGYtQ1NtY3NDMlVvUmZ3bk42bUdjVDAwNHpaLUVGTkFqak40WTlrdFhJX2RRdjZDTV9sUmRYSXU5V3dtM09hOVpmT3hwbzRxbDlCZFFqUnY3dGZNZ0VraWR5WC1qeFNEM0ZmRWFwZUd3ZjZlYWRfWjBfZEprWE5MZw?oc=5",
"source": "Reuters",
"matched": false,
"summary": "Twenty-five years after September 11, Americans reflect on attack that changed a nation Reuters",
"datetime": "2026-09-11T18:40:36.000Z",
"headline": "Twenty-five years after September 11, Americans reflect on attack that changed a nation - Reuters"
},
{
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/11/why-this-stock-deserves-its-premium-valuation-and-should-be-owned.html",
"source": "CNBC",
"matched": false,
"summary": "Every weekday, the Investing Club releases the Homestretch, an actionable afternoon update just in time for the last hour of trading.",
"datetime": "2026-09-11T18:26:28.000Z",
"headline": "Why this industrial gas giant deserves its premium valuation (and should be owned)"
},
{
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/11/meet-ottava-jjs-surgical-robot-leading-the-healthcare-giant-into-a-lucrative-new-market.html",
"source": "CNBC",
"matched": false,
"summary": "J&J is confident that Ottava, it's new robotic surgical system can compete in the robotic surgery market",
"datetime": "2026-09-11T17:33:44.000Z",
"headline": "Meet Ottava, J&J's surgical robot leading the healthcare giant into a lucrative new market"
},
{
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/11/election-officials-ban-employees-from-prediction-markets.html",
"source": "CNBC",
"matched": false,
"summary": "Ahead of the midterms, election officials ban certain workers from using prediction markets to reassure the public they are committed to election integrity.",
"datetime": "2026-09-11T17:00:48.000Z",
"headline": "Election officials ban certain public workers from trading on prediction markets ahead of midterms"
},
{
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/11/us-commemorates-25th-anniversary-9/11-photos.html",
"source": "CNBC",
"matched": false,
"summary": "On Sept. 11, 2001, hijackers flew planes into the World Trade Center and other monuments, killing thousands. 25 years later, photos capture those marking 9/11.",
"datetime": "2026-09-11T16:41:40.000Z",
"headline": "In pictures: The U.S. commemorates the 25th anniversary of 9/11"
},
{
"url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxQNU9meER5NzRINzdPNU5vM1NPeHJqaXRfUkxOS29Gdi1QWUtYLVNOOXZWR2NuNnJnM0xpblV3VEhTd0FkZm84U1FqTWlZZDMzUVRqVVRtNmttS0hyZEdKdDM1LTBvNld4cFI2N1B1LVdHT2lEUERORWRSYXdVaG11OUQxYjZ2a25qZHZsMXRESWZheEdza25xNE16em1Ibm9fdmhvLWI1aDdDc3FjNzJ6SlRKRFE1TkJFeXFR?oc=5",
"source": "Reuters",
"matched": false,
"summary": "India's Modi stresses need to protect navigation, seafarers in talks with Iran's Pezeshkian Reuters",
"datetime": "2026-09-11T16:38:47.000Z",
"headline": "India's Modi stresses need to protect navigation, seafarers in talks with Iran's Pezeshkian - Reuters"
},
{
"url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/11/bonds-are-going-on-tilt-how-to-play-them-says-mike-khouw.html",
"source": "CNBC",
"matched": false,
"summary": "Warren Buffett once said interest rates are to asset prices what gravity is to matter. If the options market is correct, things could get heavy, says Mike Khouw.",
"datetime": "2026-09-11T16:26:14.000Z",
"headline": "Bonds are going on tilt. How to play them, says Mike Khouw"
}
],
"fetched": 100,
"category": "general"
}Trigger context
{
"trigger": {
"low": 4290.11,
"high": 4402.46,
"open": 4319.76,
"time": 1789074000,
"close": 4349,
"source": "ea:6556e88f4f30",
"spread": 18,
"symbol": "XAUUSD",
"bar_time": "2026-09-10T21:00:00Z",
"timeframe": "D1",
"real_volume": 0,
"tick_volume": 424830
}
}